Saturday, April 13, 2013

The curse of coalition politics - India is going to be an orphan for five more long years




Voters have been defeated continuously
I am one of those people who always believed, Indian voter is the smartest and have great respect for him for the events he dictated to take place in India-post freedom, starting from out throwing Indira Gandhi from power as a sign of punishment during 1977 to rejecting BJP in 2004 elections for trying to misguide the nation. But the irony is Indian politicians are smarter than voters and they are more powerful, few are coward too. Take a look at for example voters never voted for Deve Gowda to be the prime minister so is Chandrasekhar and IK Gujral,these were  purely orchestrated by Indian politicians through which  they tried to make PM less powerful or instate puppy if I can say that.
So Indian voter and politician trying outsmart each other, one with the honesty and urge towards nation’s progress and the later for his own good sake to make money sufficient for fewer generations of his family paved path for coalition governments. Loyalties of voters changed dynamically and so are the priorities of politicians .But I strongly feel that the root cause for coalition governments in India are in the freedom struggle during 1945 to 47, where Indians needed one strong united voice – so most of the people with difference ideologies came under one umbrella called Indian National Congress   by which killed the an alternative for Indians. I would like to call this as an unwanted “side effect” of a great medicine.INC won successive elections under Nehru ji’s leadership leveraging the sacrifices made during freedom struggle, common man never was is need for strong opposition neither for another leader, sudden demise of Nehru opened a vacuum which was never filed at least the true spirit of him for the nation. Have a look at the below data it tells everything about Indian politics over half a century.



1951 to 1977 – for 26 years, there was no strong opposition for congress, had Indira not announced emergency I don’t think any party would have grown stronger enough to form a government.
So what is the problem with coalition governments now?
We’ve had unstable governments either they were in minority or in coalition, which caused damage for the whole nation – none of these governments could dare to take decisions which will help this country to progress faster for  example interlinking rivers .The biggest drawback with a coalition government is they become consolidated sum of vested interests. The more allies you have greater the problem is.Now we need a powerful government which can drive us through this difficult period – the whole developed world is experiencing recession for long, we have a killing threat from terrorism, crime rate is increasing, corruption paralyzed entire system. We need a leader who can lead a government with guts more over who can build trust and get more seats for his party in order to provide stable government and take courageous decisions for the bigger cause of the nation.
So who that be – Rahul Ganghi or Narendra Modi?
There are number of discussions already took place on Newspapers, national TV channels on who will make a great prime minister among these two and who has more promising prospects. Well, to me it looks like none of them are going to be prime minister after 2014 elections primary reason being none of them qualifies to be one, of course there were people who became prime ministers before who themselves would not imagined that they would.
Now-  let me deal with why I think none of them will become PM or should not become PM:
Rahul Gandhi :
I was in college, doing my MBA when Rahul Gandhi announced his political entry, I had great hopes on him and it increased as the days goes  – till last couple of years. Now I realized I was impressed by him not because of the promise he shown but he was efficient enough to hide his inability and lack of knowledge. But one thing is for sure I am truly impressed by his nature of not so blatantly exploiting his position and being born to Rajiv Gandhi unlike sons of few chief ministers. But that is not good enough to qualify him for the most powerful role in the country. He has not done anything except talking very superficially about change, corruption. His lack of knowledge about serious problems like electricity, irrigation, unemployment, creating new business opportunities, handling terrorism is extremely evident whenever he spoke about them in the media. He never opened up to prove himself clean on coal gate scam, common wealth – suresh kalmadi episode and most importantly on his brother-in-law’s episode. Should we believe that al these happened without the knowledgeof  his mother and his mother hid these from him. Above all these
1)      Rahul Ganhdi’s political experience is enough to judge that the current government lost its reputation and will not be voted for power this term – why would he be ready to announce himself as captain to the sinking ship, given the bitter experience he had in the Uttarpradesh elections. He may not risk his political career for this term so he would love to remain as the prince with lot of power and without any accountability.
2)      Even if they win, they have people like Mulayam singh Yadav who freshly sacrificed chief minister post to his son, and would not throw away an opportunity to become PM
Naendra Modi :
Successful chief minister of a progressing state, commands great respect in Gujarath and in the industrial, business fraternity including Tatas,Reliance.Has good track as chief minister, has great ideas of creating new business opportunities but will his model of Gujarath work for the whole nation? Why would BJP allies let him do things at the pace he is operating in his state? He has advantages like – no corruption allegations so far, and he can go back to his state if he fails at national level politics. His knowledge and ability to handle problems across country like the Telangana issue or conflict between states over river water is questionable to an extent – because he never seems to have mentioned these on any forum. The other is he being accepted given the reputation of religious fanatic he has. He neither took responsibility nor apologized for what happened in Godhra. Even if we assume Modi or his government never encouraged riots, how you ever entrust such huge responsibility of guiding the nation to a person who could not control situation because of which 2000 people were killed. Above all he has bigger problems
1)      Nitheesh kumar does not like Modi’s reputation at all – they are scared that Modi will drive Muslim voters away from their party. He is ambitious too, he announced his intentions during the big public address recently
2)      LK Advani – the father of BJP’s renaissance – wanted to become prime ministers all his life – if at all they have enough  number to form government why he would he throw way the opportunity to fulfill his dream
3)      Sushma Swaraj,Arun Jaitely, Jaya Lalitha – will have better acceptance from allies – They might not believe Modi given the reputation he built of taking decisions unilaterally.
So we will end up having another weak prime minister who will dance for the tunes of their allies, curse peril whatever you call it is, it is not good for the country. I will be extremely happy if Indian voter and politicians proves me wrong

Stand at ease :-)

Views and opinions expressed in my blog are purely personal and has no connection to the organization/s I work/ed for.